An independent analysis of geopolitical predictions made by Professor Jiang Xueqin, extracted from his YouTube lecture series and fact-checked against real-world events as of March 2026.
33 unique predictions extracted, deduplicated, and fact-checked against March 2026 reality
Browse 131 lectures across 6 series spanning civilization, geopolitics, game theory, and more
Downloaded auto-generated subtitles from all 131 videos on the Predictive History YouTube channel using yt-dlp.
Cleaned VTT subtitle files — removed duplicates, overlapping text, and timestamps — producing 1.4M words of readable transcript across 131 files.
Read 9 of the most prediction-dense transcripts and extracted forward-looking claims, analytical frameworks, and specific forecasts.
Merged overlapping predictions that appeared across multiple videos into 33 unique, distinct predictions.
Evaluated each prediction against publicly known events as of March 2026, scoring them as correct, partially correct, wrong, pending, or unfalsifiable.
Built this website to make the analysis publicly browsable, searchable, and interactive.